Morgan Stanley

AI Adoption Surges Driving Productivity Gains and Job Shifts

Original Published: February 5, 2026

🎯 Impact Sentiment: Concerning

📋 Summary

  • Companies using AI for over a year saw an average 11.5% boost in productivity but a 4% net decline in jobs, with bigger cuts at large firms and among entry-level roles.
  • Specific sectors—consumer staples, real estate, transportation, healthcare, and autos—reported the biggest workforce changes, with productivity gains nearly everywhere but job losses uneven by country and sector.
  • Early-career workers were hit hardest, while employees with 2–10 years' experience were most often retrained; 27% of staff received reskilling last year, signaling growing demand for workplace training.
  • Morgan Stanley advises investors to watch companies and sectors best leveraging AI, while stressing the value of reskilling and ongoing adaptation amid rapid, unpredictable job shifts.

💡 JR Insights

  • 💼 Implication: AI is driving significant efficiency but it’s coming at the expense of entry-level jobs, making it harder for new grads and career-switchers to break in. The expectation that AI would boost jobs overall isn’t matching reality—at least not yet.
  • 🚨 Risk: Job cuts are most severe for those just starting out, so people entering the workforce without specialized skills could face real obstacles. If reskilling efforts can’t keep up with the pace of AI adoption, those left behind may struggle to find meaningful roles.
  • ✨ Takeaway: If you’re early in your career or worried about redundancy, invest in learning new skills and be proactive in seeking companies investing in workforce development. AI isn’t slowing down, so adaptability and willingness to reskill will be your best long-term assets.

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